Wagner Group and Opportunism in Russian Foreign Policy: Case Studies of the Central African Republic (CAR), Libya, and Mozambique

• Název práce v češtině: Vagnerova skupiny a oportunismus v ruské zahraniční politice: případové studie Středoafrické republiky (SAR), Libye a Mozambiku
• Název v anglickém jazyce: Wagner Group and Opportunism in Russian Foreign Policy: Case Studies of the Central African Republic (CAR), Libya, and Mozambique
• Klíčová slova: Rusko, Wagnerova skupina, Libya, Mozambik, Středoafrická republika, úspěch, neúspěch
• Klíčová slova anglicky: Russia, Wagner Group, Libya, Mozambique, Central African Republic, success, failures
• Akademický rok vypsání: 2019/2020
• Typ práce: diplomová práce
• Jazyk práce: angličtina
• Ústav: Katedra politologie (23-KP)
• Vedoucí / školitel: doc. Martin Riegl, Ph.D.
• Řešitel: skrytý - zadáno vedoucím/školitelem
• Datum přihlášení: 24.09.2020
• Datum zadání: 24.09.2020
• Datum a čas obhajoby: 24.01.2022 08:00
• Místo konání obhajoby: Pekařská 16, JPEK301, 301, Malá učebna, 3.patro
• Datum odevzdání elektronické podoby: 30.12.2021
• Datum proběhlé obhajoby: 24.01.2022
• Oponenti: Mgr. Bohumil Doboš, Ph.D.

Zásady pro vypracování

Research Question: Have Ethiopia’s water policies had an impact on Ethiopia’s relations with its fellow countries in the Nile River Basin and great powers that have interests in the region?
Variables to measure impact of these policies:

• Speeches/statements made regarding Ethiopian water policies by foreign governments. Are these governments for or against these policies?
• Policies made by foreign governments in response to Ethiopian water policies.
• Are countries coming together to find common ground with Ethiopia or working together against Ethiopia?
• Ethiopia’s hydropower exports to the Nile River Basin countries. Is this viewed as positive or negative?

Hypotheses:

1. Ethiopia’s water policies have had a positive effect on Ethiopia’s relations with other states.
2. Ethiopia’s water policies have had a negative effect on Ethiopia’s relations with other states.
Methodology:
The methodology used to research this thesis topic will primarily be qualitative but will also include quantitative analysis (How many people’s lives in the basin have improved because of access to power resulting from dams?). I will illustrate a brief history of Ethiopian relations with the other Nile River Basin countries through a review of literature on the subject. I will analyze past and present water policies put forward by the Ethiopian government along with public statements from government officials that relate to the topic. I will then provide a comprehensive assessment of what these policies have produced in Ethiopia and the Nile River Basin countries through thorough research. Then I will analyze the geopolitical effects of these policies. Has there been a change in the balance of power? This will be done through analysis of policies enacted and statements/speeches made by Nile River Basin countries in response to Ethiopia. Answering questions such as has there been a response and if so, how have these responses changed the relationship between the Nile River Basin Countries and Ethiopia. Finally, there will be analysis of statements and actions taken by the international community in response to Ethiopia. Have these resulted in geopolitical shifts? The analysis of all these factors will look to discover if Ethiopia’s water policies have changed the geopolitics of the Nile River Basin, and if so, how these policies have changed the relationships.

Seznam odborné literatury

1. Abdel-Latif, Jalal, and Sara Mokaddem. 2016. “RP-16/04 Ethiopia: Emergence and Positive Change in a Turbulent Geopolitical Context.” https://www.policycenter.ma/sites/default/files/OCPPC-RP-1604rec.pdf.
2. Adar, KG. 2010. “Kenya’s Foreign Policy and Geopolitical Interests: The Case of the Nile River Basin.” African Sociological Review / Revue Africaine de Sociologie 11 (1). https://doi.org/10.4314/asr.v11i1.51440.
3. “Drought and Conflict across the Kenyan-Ethiopian Border | ECC Factbook.” 2015. ECC Library. Adelphi. October 26, 2015. https://library.ecc-platform.org/conflicts/drought-and-conflict-across-kenyan-ethiopian-border.
4. Ethiopia Ministry of Water resources. 2001. “ETHIOPIAN WATER SECTOR STRATEGY.” Ethiopia: Ethiopia Ministry of Water Resources. https://chilot.me/wp-content/uploads/2011/08/water-strategy.pdf.
5. Ethiopian News Agency ኢዜአ ENATUBE. 2020. “PM Abiy Ahmed Addresses Parliament about GERD.” YouTube Video. YouTube. https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=EKn68kQ2E3I&ab_channel=EthiopianNewsAgency%E1%8A%A2%E1%8B%9C%E1%8A%A0ENATUBE.
6. Hala Nasr & Andreas Neef (2016): Ethiopia’s Challenge to Egyptian Hegemony in the Nile River Basin: The Case of the Grand Ethiopian Renaissance Dam, Geopolitics, DOI: 10.1080/14650045.2016.1209740 http://dx.doi.org/10.1080/14650045.2016.1209740
7. Kaplan, Robert D. 2003. Surrender of Starve : Travels in Ethiopia, Sudan, Somalia, and Eritrea. New York: Vintage.
8. Lawson, Fred H. (2017) Egypt versus Ethiopia: The Conflict over the Nile Metastasizes. The International Spectator 52:4, pages 129-144.
9. Luzi, Samuel, Mohamed Abdelmoghny Hamouda, Franziska Sigrist, and Evelyne Tauchnitz. 2008. “Water Policy Networks in Egypt and Ethiopia.” The Journal of Environment & Development 17(3) (238). https://www.researchgate.net/publication/215595058_Water_Policy_Networks_in_Egypt_and_Ethiopia.
10. Sandström, Emil, Anders Jägerskog, and Terje Oestigaard. 2019. Land and Hydropolitics in the Nile River Basin : Challenges and New Investments. London: Routledge. https://www.routledge.com/Land-and-Hydropolitics-in-the-Nile-River-Basin-Challenges-and-new-investments/Sandstrom-Jagerskog-Oestigaard/p/book/9780367029692.
11. Seifulaziz Milas. 2013. Sharing the Nile : Egypt, Ethiopia and the Geo-Politics of Water. London: Pluto Press.
12. THE FEDERAL DEMOCRATIC REPUBLIC OF ETHIOPIA MINISTRY OF WATER RESOURCES. n.d. “Ethiopian Water Resources Management Policy.” THE FEDERAL DEMOCRATIC REPUBLIC OF ETHIOPIA MINISTRY OF WATER RESOURCES. Accessed September 2, 2020. http://extwprlegs1.fao.org/docs/pdf/eth158196.pdf.
13. Tsega, Anwar. 2018. “The Geopolitics of Water Negotiations Succeeding the GERD Project in the Nile River Basin.” INSAMER English. July 12, 2018. https://insamer.com/en/the-geopolitics-of-water-negotiations-succeeding-the-gerd-project-in-the-nile-river-basin_950.html.
14. User, Super. n.d. “Ethiopia | Nile Basin Intitative (NBI).” Nilebasin.Org. Accessed September 11, 2020. https://nilebasin.org/ethiopia.
15. Verhoeven, Harry. 2013. “The Politics of African Energy Development: Ethiopia’s Hydro-Agricultural State-Building Strategy and Clashing Paradigms of Water Security.” Philosophical Transactions of the Royal Society A: Mathematical, Physical and Engineering Sciences 371 (2002): 20120411. https://doi.org/10.1098/rsta.2012.0411.
16. “Water Infrastructure in the Nile Basin.” n.d. Food and Agricultural Organization of the U.N. Food and Agricultural Organization of the U.N. Accessed September 2, 2020. http://www.fao.org/3/an529e/an529e.pdf.
17. Yacob Arsano. 2007. Ethiopia and the Nile : Dilemmas of National and Regional Hydropolitics. Zürich: Center for Security Studies, Swiss Federal Institute of Technology, Zurich.

Předběžná náplň práce

1. Introduction
2. Methodology
3. Literature review
4. Ethiopia
a. History of Ethiopian relations with Nile River Basin countries
b. History of Ethiopia’s water policies
5. Overview of Ethiopia’s current water policies/goals of the policies
a. Results of said water policies in Ethiopia (Example: GERD)
b. Results of said water policies on Nile River Basin countries.
6. Geopolitical effects of Ethiopian water policies
a. Geopolitical effects of Ethiopian water policies in the Nile River Basin Countries. Change in relations because of policies? Is Ethiopia increasing its power in the region?
b. How are these policies effecting relations with great powers and the international community? (Example: U.S. suspending AID to Ethiopia over disagreement about GERD recently.)
c. What is to be expected moving forward for Ethiopia and the Nile River Basin countries regarding Ethiopia’s water policies.
7. Conclusions
8. References / Bibliography
9. Annexes

Předběžná náplň práce v anglickém jazyce

Topic Characteristics: My thesis will focus on the geopolitical effects of Ethiopia’s water policies in the Nile River Basin. Geopolitical effects being how the geography and resulting water resources of Ethiopia are being used to change the relationships between Ethiopia and its fellow countries in the Nile River Basin. Ethiopia is a rising power in East Africa that is working to use its large quantity of water resources to help facilitate its growth through hydropower produced by dams and to provide.