Migration and Economic Voting Outcomes: Theory and Empirics from Moldova

• Název v anglickém jazyce: Migration and Economic Voting Outcomes: Theory and Empirics from Moldova
• Klíčová slova: Migration, elections, voting outcome, economic policy, economic institutions, political institutions, Moldova
• Klíčová slova anglicky: Migration, elections, voting outcome, economic policy, economic institutions, political institutions, Moldova
• Akademický rok vypsání: 2012/2013
• Typ práce: diplomová práce
• Jazyk práce: angličtina
• Ústav: Institut ekonomických studií (23-IES)
• Vedoucí / školitel: doc. PhDr. Martin Gregor, Ph.D.
• Řešitel: skrytý - zadáno vedoucím/školitelem
• Datum přihlášení: 18.06.2013
• Datum zadání: 18.06.2013
• Datum a čas obhajoby: 23.09.2015 00:00
• Místo konání obhajoby: IES
• Datum odevzdání elektronické podoby: 30.07.2015
• Datum proběhlé obhajoby: 23.09.2015
• Oponenti: PhDr. Natálie Švarcová, Ph.D.

Seznam odborné literatury

1. Acemoglu, D., Johnson, S. & Robinson, J. A. (2005): “Chapter 6 Institutions as a Fundamental Cause of Long-run Growth”, Handbook of Economic Growth, vol. 1, part A: pp.385-472
2. Batista, C. & Vicente, P.C. (2009): “Do migrants improve governance at home? Evidence from a voting experiment.” Working Paper, Trinity College Dublin.
3. Docquier, F, Lodigiani, E., Rapoport, H. & Schiff, M. (2010): “Emigration and the quality of home country institutions.” Centre for Economic Policy Research
4. Fidrmuc, J., & Doyle, O. (2004): “Voice of the Diaspora: An Analysis of Migrant Voting Behaviour”, ZEI working paper, No. B 02-2005
5. Ganta, V. (2012): “The impact of international labour migration on the Republic of Moldova”, CARIM-East RR 2012/32, Robert Schuman Centre for Advanced Studies, San Domenico di Fiesole (FI): European University Institute
6. Luecke, M., Omar Mahmoud, T. & Pinger, P. (2009): “Labour Migration and Remittances in Moldova: Is the Boom Over? Trends and Preliminary Findings from the IOM-CBSAXA Panel Household Survey 2006-2008”, Study developed for International Organization for Migration Mission to Moldova
7. Omar Mahmoud, T., Rapoport, H., Steinmayr, A. & Trebesch, C. (2014): “The Effect of Labour Migration on the Diffusion of Democracy: Evidence from a Former Soviet Republic”, IZA Discussion Paper no. 7980
8. Razin, A. & Sand, E. (2009): “Migration regime liberalization and social security: political economy effect”. Centre for Economic Policy Research, Discussion Paper no.7310
9. Siegel, M., & Waidler, J. (2012): “Migration and multi-dimensional poverty in Moldovan communities.” Eastern Journal of European Studies, vol.3, issue 2
10. Spilimbergo, A. (2007): “Democracy and Foreign Education”. International Monetary Fund, Working paper WP/07/51.

Předběžná náplň práce

The focus of the present research is to explore several dimensions and their interconnections: migration, election results and implemented policies. It will analyse how emigration is affecting the elections results and voting patterns, of both, migrants and non-migrants, thus influencing the undertaken policies and institution development in the home country. This thesis is based on evidence from Republic of Moldova, an Eastern European country with a Soviet Union heritage. The study covers the years 1998-2010 using data for 6 election results in Moldova and data about emigration during the corresponding years. The key assumption, confirmed in this thesis is that with increase of number of emigrants to the West countries, especially countries of European Union, the percentage of votes offered to Communist Party decreases, while there is a positive connection between the number of emigrants to eastern countries, namely Russia, and the number of votes given to Communist Party. Therefore, the migrants have different voting patterns from non-migrants, which with time are passed to their families and connections in the home country, using the spillover effect and hence being able to change the political and economic institutions in the home country. Data is modelled using OLS and GMM.

Předběžná náplň práce v anglickém jazyce

The focus of the present research is to explore several dimensions and their interconnections: migration, election results and implemented policies. It will analyse how emigration is affecting the elections results and voting patterns, of both, migrants and non-migrants, thus influencing the undertaken policies and institution development in the home country. This thesis is based on evidence from Republic of Moldova, an Eastern European country with a Soviet Union heritage. The study covers the years 1998-2010 using data for 6 election results in Moldova and data about emigration during the corresponding years. The key assumption, confirmed in this thesis is that with increase of number of emigrants to the West countries, especially countries of European Union, the percentage of votes offered to Communist Party decreases, while there is a positive connection between the number of emigrants to eastern countries, namely Russia, and the number of votes given to Communist Party. Therefore, the migrants have different voting patterns from non-migrants, which with time are passed to their families and connections in the home country, using the spillover effect and hence being able to change the political and economic institutions in the home country. Data is modelled using OLS and GMM.