The changing importance of OCA arguments in the national discussions about euro accession in the new EU member-states of Central and Eastern Europe in times of crisis
Název práce v češtině: | |
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Název v anglickém jazyce: | The changing importance of OCA arguments in the national discussions about euro accession in the new EU member-states of Central and Eastern Europe in times of crisis |
Klíčová slova: | Euro, Eurozone, Optimum Currency Area, EU |
Klíčová slova anglicky: | Euro, Eurozone, Optimum Currency Area, EU |
Akademický rok vypsání: | 2011/2012 |
Typ práce: | diplomová práce |
Jazyk práce: | angličtina |
Ústav: | Institut ekonomických studií (23-IES) |
Vedoucí / školitel: | prof. Ing. Oldřich Dědek, CSc. |
Řešitel: | skrytý![]() |
Datum přihlášení: | 08.11.2011 |
Datum zadání: | 08.11.2011 |
Datum a čas obhajoby: | 01.02.2013 09:00 |
Místo konání obhajoby: | IPS FSV UK, U kříže 8/661 158 00 Praha 5 – Jinonice |
Datum odevzdání elektronické podoby: | 16.01.2013 |
Datum proběhlé obhajoby: | 01.02.2013 |
Oponenti: | Mgr. Jan Průša, M.Phil., Ph.D. |
Seznam odborné literatury |
Literature
Argentino Pessoa “The Euro Area sovereign debt crisis. Some implications of its systemic dimension. http://mpra.ub.uni-muenchen.de/35328/ used on: 18-10-2012. Attila Csajbok, Andras Rezessy, “Hungary’s eurozone entry date: what do the markets think and what if they change their minds?” MNB 2005. Ben Seeder, “Lithuania to Delay Euro Adoption “ the Wall Street Journal (2012). BertelsmannStiftung, BTI 2012 Czech Republic country report, http://www.bti-project.de/fileadmin/Inhalte/reports/2012/pdf/BTI%202012%20Czech%20Republic.pdf used on: 01-12-2012. Budapest Business Journal, Hungary eurozone entry ‘realistic’ in 2018-2020, says minister, http://www.bbj.hu/economy/hungary-eurozone-entry-%E2%80%98realistic-in-2018-2020-says-minister_58777 used on: 23-11-2012. Charles Wyplosz, “European Monetary Integration. The dark sides of a major success” Economic Policy 21 (2006) 207-261. Christopher Emsden, “Slovenia Minister: Reforms last shot to avoid bailout” The wall street journal (2012). Duncan Crawford, “Latvia heads for eurozone despite wary population” BBC news (2012). Ecofin, Macroeconomic imbalances Hungary http://ec.europa.eu/economy_finance/publications/occasional_paper/2012/pdf/ocp106_en.pdf used on: 17-11-2012. Ecofin, Macroeconomic imbalances Slovenia http://ec.europa.eu/economy_finance/publications/occasional_paper/2012/pdf/ocp109_en.pdf used on: 17-11-2012. Ernst & Young, “Ernst & Young Eurozone forecast Slovenia” (2012) http://www.ey.com/Publication/vwLUAssets/Eurozone_forecast_Autumn_2012_Slovenia/$FILE/Eurozone_forecast_Autumn_2012_Slovenia.pdf used on: 05-12-2012. Euractiv, “After Bulgaria, Romania delays euro adoption” (2010) http://www.euractiv.com/euro-finance/bulgaria-romania-delays-euro-ado-news-448951 used on: 01-12-2012. European Commission, Member State Profile. The economy of Slovakia, http://ec.europa.eu/economy_finance/een/007/article_5628_en.htm Used on 15-11-2012. International Monetary Fund, Czech Republic. Staff Report for the 2010 Article IV Consultation http://www.imf.org/external/pubs/ft/scr/2010/cr1060.pdf used on 30-10-2012. International Monetary Fund, Romania. Staff Report for the 2012 Article IV Consultation http://www.imf.org/external/pubs/ft/scr/2012/cr12290.pdf used on 30-10-2012. Janet Stobart, “On 2nd try, Slovakia approves expanding European bailout fund” Los Angeles Times 2011. Jerzy Buzek, “The transformation of Poland since 1989” European view 8 (2009) 187-190. Joe Parkinson, “Bulgaria Shelves Plans to Join Ailing Euro Bloc” The Wall Street Journal (2012). Karolina Slowikowska, “Poland leans towards euro zone entry despite crisis” the globe and mail (2012). Kristilla Skrūzkalne and Mārtiņš Kazāks, “Why does the Latvian economy keep expanding so fast?” Swedbank 2012. Ladka Bauerova, “Czech premier Necas calls Euro area a “union of debt”” Bloomberg News (2011). Lars Jonung, Eoin Drea, “The Euro, It can’t happen. It’s a bad idea. It won’t last. US economists on the EMU 1989-2002 European Communities (2009) 1-53. Liam Lever, “Romania’s central bank govenor: adopting the euro by 2015 is out of the question” romania.insider.com (2012). Lucyna Kornecki, “FDI in central and eastern Europe. Business environment and current FDI trends in Poland” Research in Business and Economics Journal 2009. Miroslav Beblavý, “Is the euro really a ‘teuro’? Effects of introducing the euro on prices of everyday non-tradables in Slovakia” CEPS (2010). Mojmir Mrak, Matija Roject, Carlos Silva-Jauregui, “Slovenia, from Yugoslavia to the European Union World Bank (2004). Niall O’Learry, “Structural Challenges to the European Economy: The Eurozone, Employment and Credit” SSgA Capital Insights (2011) 1-5. Ott Ummelas & Aaron Eglitis, “Estonia Euro Support Reaches Record as Latvia Readies Bid” Bloomberg 2012. Peter Boone, Simon Johnson, “Europe on the Brink” Peterson Institute for International Economics PB 11-13 (2011) 1-11. Phil Cain, “As tiny Slovenia votes, larger eurozone watches with wary eye” The Christian science monitor http://www.csmonitor.com/World/Europe/2012/1113/As-tiny-Slovenia-votes-larger-eurozone-watches-with-wary-eye (2012) (used on 19-11-2012). Richard Baldwin, Charles Wyplosz, The economics of European integration (2009). Richter, J., Government calm over record-breaking Czech crown http://www.radio.cz/en/article/106358 used on: 12-11-2012. Rob Cameron, “For Czechs, Euro adoption is still a long way off” Radio Prague (2008). Sean Carney, “Euroskeptic Klaus sees slow EU recovery because of Euro” The Wall Street journal (2010). Sivakumar Venkataramany, Sean Miller, “Future Prospects For Foreign Investment In Lithuania. Does This Baltic Tiger Still Have Teeth?” International Business & Economics Research Journal 9 (2010) 27-34. Standard Eurobarometer 78 (2012) http://ec.europa.eu/public_opinion/archives/eb/eb78/eb78_first_en.pdf used on: 01-12-12. The Economist, Estonia gets a green light to join the Euro. Other Baltic states will benefit too http://www.economist.com/node/16116783 used on 21-11-2012. Victoria Garcia-Rubiales, “Unemployment in Spain: An Analysis of Labor Mobility and Young Adult Unemployment” Stanford University (2004) 1-32. Visehrad.info, Euro versus national currencies in Visegrad countries, http://www.visegrad.info/monetary-policy--euro/factsheet/euro-versus-national-currencies-in-visegrad-countries.html used on 13-11-2012. Worldbank, www.worldbank.org/country/Slovenia. |
Předběžná náplň práce |
The developments in the Eurozone are currently one of the most treated topics in world media and economic analysis. The euro, which once started as a crown on the prestigious European integration project and a serious competitor to the dollar, seems to be in dangerous waters now. Politicians and policymakers devote a lot of their time and energy to the problem, and the EU seems to receive more attention now than it ever did. Several policies and reforms are being designed to make the recovery of the Eurozone possible.
At the time of writing, there are many conflicting opinions about the future of the Eurozone, both in academic literature, political rethoric and the press. After rigorous bailout packages, multiple European and international agreements and a deep economic crisis, it is still uncertain where the Euro will be in a few years. Questions on how to make policy in this environment are therefore very relevant, both on the member-state level and on the EU level. We can ask ourselves on what information policy makers could base their policies on in such a dynamic environment. We can ask ourselves to what degree formal academic economics is useful in a situation like the Eurozone crisis, where the situation changes continuously, the economic situation is different for every member-state and economists fundamentally disagree about how to deal with the crisis. This paper is devoted to giving some inside in how the complex world of policymaking is connected to formal economics in the case of the Eurozone. |
Předběžná náplň práce v anglickém jazyce |
The developments in the Eurozone are currently one of the most treated topics in world media and economic analysis. The euro, which once started as a crown on the prestigious European integration project and a serious competitor to the dollar, seems to be in dangerous waters now. Politicians and policymakers devote a lot of their time and energy to the problem, and the EU seems to receive more attention now than it ever did. Several policies and reforms are being designed to make the recovery of the Eurozone possible.
At the time of writing, there are many conflicting opinions about the future of the Eurozone, both in academic literature, political rethoric and the press. After rigorous bailout packages, multiple European and international agreements and a deep economic crisis, it is still uncertain where the Euro will be in a few years. Questions on how to make policy in this environment are therefore very relevant, both on the member-state level and on the EU level. We can ask ourselves on what information policy makers could base their policies on in such a dynamic environment. We can ask ourselves to what degree formal academic economics is useful in a situation like the Eurozone crisis, where the situation changes continuously, the economic situation is different for every member-state and economists fundamentally disagree about how to deal with the crisis. This paper is devoted to giving some inside in how the complex world of policymaking is connected to formal economics in the case of the Eurozone. |