Yield Curve Modeling and the Effect of Macroeconomic Drivers: Dynamic Nelson-Siegel Approach
Název práce v češtině: | Modelování výnosových křivek a efekt makroekonomických proměnných: Dynamický Nelson-Siegelův přístup |
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Název v anglickém jazyce: | Yield Curve Modeling and the Effect of Macroeconomic Drivers: Dynamic Nelson-Siegel Approach |
Klíčová slova: | Nelson-Siegel, Kalmanùv filtr, Kalmanovo vyhlazování, Stace space formulace |
Klíčová slova anglicky: | Nelson-Siegel, Kalman filter, Kalman smoother, Stace space formulation |
Akademický rok vypsání: | 2010/2011 |
Typ práce: | diplomová práce |
Jazyk práce: | angličtina |
Ústav: | Institut ekonomických studií (23-IES) |
Vedoucí / školitel: | PhDr. Boril Šopov, M.Sc., LL.M. |
Řešitel: | skrytý![]() |
Datum přihlášení: | 07.06.2011 |
Datum zadání: | 07.06.2011 |
Datum a čas obhajoby: | 28.06.2012 00:00 |
Místo konání obhajoby: | Opetalova ul. 26 |
Datum odevzdání elektronické podoby: | 18.05.2012 |
Datum proběhlé obhajoby: | 28.06.2012 |
Oponenti: | prof. Ing. Miloslav Vošvrda, CSc. |
Seznam odborné literatury |
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Ang , A. & M. Piazzesi (2001): “A no-arbitrage vector autoregression of term structure dynamics with macroeconomic and latent variables.” Working Paper 8363, National Bureau of Economic Research. Brinkhuis , J. & V. Tikhomirov (2005): Optimization: Insights And Applications. Princeton Series in Applied Mathematics. Princeton University Press. Christensen , J. H., F. X. Diebold , & G. D. Rudebusch (2008): “An arbitrage-free generalized nelson-siegel term structure model.” Working Paper 14463, National Bureau of Economic Research. Diebold , F. X., L. Ji , & C. Li (2006a): “A three-factor yield curve model: Non-affine structure, systematic risk sources, and generalized duration.” In “Long-Run Growth and Short-Run Stabilization: Essays in Memory of,” pp. 240–274. Diebold , F. X. & C. Li (2006): “Forecasting the term structure of government bond yields.” Journal of Econometrics 130(130): pp. 337–364. Diebold , F. X., C. Li , & V. Z. Yue (2008): “Global yield curve dynamics and interactions: A dynamic nelsonˆa¿“siegel approach.” Journal of Econometrics 146(2): pp. 351 – 363. ¡ce:title¿Honoring the research contributions of Charles R. Nelson. Diebold , F. X., M. Piazzesi , & G. D. Rudebusch (2005): “Modeling bond yields in finance and macroeconomics.” The American Economic Review 95(2): pp. pp. 415–420. Diebold , F. X., G. D. Rudebusch , & S. B. Aruoba (2006b): “The macroeconomy and the yield curve: a dynamic latent factor approach.” Journal of Econometrics 131(131): p. 309-338. Doornik , J. (2009): Object-oriented Matrix Programming Using Ox 2.0. Timberlake Consultants P. Durbin , J. & S. J. Koopman (2001): Time Series Analysis by State Space Methods. Oxford University Press. Estrella , A. & G. A. Hardouvelis (1991): “The term structure as a predictor of real economic activity.” Journal of Finance 46(2): pp. 555–76. Estrella , A. & F. S. Mishkin (1999): “Predicting u.s. recessions: Financial variables as leading indicators.” NBER Working Papers 5379, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc. Hoerdahl , P., O. Tristani , & D. Vestin (2004): “A joint econometric model of macroeconomic and term structure dynamics.” Working Paper Series 405, European Central Bank. Jungbacker , B., S. Koopman , & M. van der Wel (2009): Dynamic factor models with smooth loadings for analyzing the term structure of interest rates. Discussion paper. Tinbergen Institute. Koopman , S. J., N. Shephard , & J. A. Doornik (1999): “Statistical algorithms for models in state space using ssfpack 2.2.” Econometrics Journal 2(1): pp. 113–166. Kozicki , S. & P. Tinsley (2001): “Shifting endpoints in the term structure of interest rates.” Journal of Monetary Economics 47(3): pp. 613–652. Li , C., L. Niu , & G. Zeng (2011): “A generalized arbitrage-free Nelson-Siegel term structure model with macroeconomic fundamentals.” Working paperseries, SSRN eLibrary. Mergner , S. (2009): Applications of State Space Models in Finance : An Empirical Analysis of the Time-varying Relationship between Macroeconomics, Fundamentals and Pan-European Industry Portfolios. Universitatsverlag Gottingen. Nelson , C. R. & A. F. Siegel (1987): “Parsimonious modeling of yield curves.” The Journal of Business 60(4): pp. pp. 473–489. Šopov , B. & J. Seidler (2011): “Yield curve dynamics-regional common factor model.” Prague Economic Papers 2: p. 141. Piazzesi , M. (2005): “Bond yields and the federal reserve.” Journal of Political Economy 113(2): pp. 311–344. Rudebusch , G. & T. Wu (2008): “A macro-finance model of the term structure, monetary policy and the economy.” Economic Journal 118(530): pp. 906–926. Wu , T. (2001): “Monetary policy and the slope factor in empirical term structure estimations.” Working paper 02-07, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco. |