Geopolitics of Global Food Supply - An analysis of Nigeria, China, and the United States
| Název práce v češtině: | Geopolitika globálního potravinového řetězce - analýza Nigérie, Číny a Spojených států amerických |
|---|---|
| Název v anglickém jazyce: | Geopolitics of Global Food Supply - An analysis of Nigeria, China, and the United States |
| Klíčová slova: | Geopolitika, potravinový řetězec, USA, Nigérie, Čína |
| Klíčová slova anglicky: | Geopolitika, food supply, USA, Nigeria, China |
| Akademický rok vypsání: | 2020/2021 |
| Typ práce: | diplomová práce |
| Jazyk práce: | angličtina |
| Ústav: | Katedra politologie (23-KP) |
| Vedoucí / školitel: | doc. Martin Riegl, Ph.D. |
| Řešitel: | skrytý - zadáno vedoucím/školitelem |
| Datum přihlášení: | 19.11.2020 |
| Datum zadání: | 19.11.2020 |
| Datum a čas obhajoby: | 13.09.2021 08:00 |
| Místo konání obhajoby: | Pekařská 16, JPEK312, 312, Malá učebna, 3.patro |
| Datum odevzdání elektronické podoby: | 28.07.2021 |
| Datum proběhlé obhajoby: | 13.09.2021 |
| Oponenti: | Mgr. Bohumil Doboš, Ph.D. |
| Kontrola URKUND: | |
| Zásady pro vypracování |
| Topic Characteristics:
My master thesis will analyze the geopolitics of global food supply. To better compare how this global issue affects countries of different economic development, I will do deeper analyzes of one country of low income status, one of middle income status and one of high income status. These are; Nigeria, China, and The United States. China, though vast, has a relatively constrained arable land mass, and will in the future have to import more food as well as try to buy land or crop facilities in other countries. Nigeria, as most of Sub Saharan Africa see huge population growth. Heavy investment and modernization is required into the country and continents farm sector to secure food supply and relative price stability. The United States have a strong, diversified and highly technological agricultural sector and high exports. However, the rapidly increasing average age of farmers means that prices need to rise to attract young ones to the agricultural sector. This, combined with their changing stance on global issues, in turn will impact the rest of the world. There are many examples of correlation between food prices/availability and civil unrest going back. Either looking at Greek city states, or the French revolution it becomes clear that food is a major trigger. We have enjoyed a long period of very stable food prices, and stable availability in the vast majority of countries. However, now we are seeing signs of this changing due to several factors. There are long term developments such as a changing climate and population growth, medium term changes such as trade policies, protectionism and transport solutions, and lastly shorter-term changes such as the current covid-19 crisis. All of these are now seemingly coming together to create a perfect storm, with the consequence potentially being sharply rising food prices and strong geopolitical tensions over the availability and security of food. Hypotheses: 1. The changing geopolitical framework towards a more multipolar world decreases the stability of food supply. 2. The higher up on the income scale a country is, the safer is their food supply. 3. Sub Saharan Africa have the agricultural potential and capability to feed themselves, and also support China with food. 3. Food prices need to rise to attract young farmers. Methodology: To test the hypotheses, I will use both quantitate and qualitative methods of analysis. I will do numerical analysis of where the breaking point in terms of food prices are for the different countries. This will influence how prone they are to civil unrest and instability. I will analyze historical events where food prices have raised sharply, and investigate how that impacted the states and people within it at the time. I will compare local agricultural production capabilities, import power, and political approaches to food supply in the three case countries. I will analyze the current supply and demand for different key agricultural products how they affect the countries differently. I will look at what measures and geopolitical tools the countries use to secure their agricultural supply chains and production for the future. I will also look into how more protectionist policies may impact the stability of the global food supply chain. |
| Seznam odborné literatury |
| Bellemare, M. F. (2014). Rising food prices, Food price volatility, and Social unrest . American Journal of Agricultural Economics.
De Ridder, M., de Jong, S., Selleslaghs, J., Achterbosch, T., Jongeneel, R., Berkhout, P., & van der Heide, M. (2013). The Emerging Geopolitics of Food. The Hague Centre for Strategic Studies (HCSS). 2514 EE The Hague: The Hague Centre for Strategic Studies. Rayner, V., Laing, E., & Hall, J. (2011). Developments in Global Food Prices. Reserve bank of Australia. Roseboom, J., Beintema, N., Lynam, J., & Badiane, O. (2016). Agricultural Research in Africa. INTERNATIONAL FOOD POLICY RESEARCH INSTITUTE. Toshichika Iizumi, N. R. (2015, 4). How do weather and climate influence cropping area and intensity? Global Food Security. Westhoff, P. C. (2010). The Economics of Food: How Feeding and Fueling the Planet Affects Food Prices. 07458, New Jersey, USA: Pearson Education, Inc. |
| Předběžná náplň práce |
| Outline:
1. Introduction 2. Theoretical background a. History of global food supply and food crisis b. Impact of globalization and modern supply chains c. Demographical changes impacting production and consumption 3. Global trends a. Decreasing globalization and less trade b. Changing climate – Harder to produce? c. Aging farmers – prices need to rise. 4. Implications in different regions – The case of Nigeria, China, and the U.S a. Key figures on the analyzed countries b. Huge populations – Limited arable land mass c. The lack of technology and capital d. Import power and currency situations. 5. Potential solutions a. Sub Saharan Africa as the worlds food basked b. Local farming c. Smarter supply chains 6. Conclusions 7. References / Bibliography |
| Předběžná náplň práce v anglickém jazyce |
| Outline:
1. Introduction 2. Theoretical background a. History of global food supply and food crisis b. Impact of globalization and modern supply chains c. Demographical changes impacting production and consumption 3. Global trends a. Decreasing globalization and less trade b. Changing climate – Harder to produce? c. Aging farmers – prices need to rise. 4. Implications in different regions – The case of Nigeria, China, and the U.S a. Key figures on the analyzed countries b. Huge populations – Limited arable land mass c. The lack of technology and capital d. Import power and currency situations. 5. Potential solutions a. Sub Saharan Africa as the worlds food basked b. Local farming c. Smarter supply chains 6. Conclusions 7. References / Bibliography |