Observing Globalization using the Gravity Model of Trade

• Název práce v češtině: Observing Globalization using the Gravity Model of Trade
• Název v anglickém jazyce: Observing Globalization using the Gravity Model of Trade
• Klíčová slova: Gravitační model, mezinárodní obchod, disagregovaný obchod, chybějící globalizační puzzle
• Klíčová slova anglicky: Gravity Model, International Trade, Disagregated Trade, Missing Globalization Puzzle
• Akademický rok vypsání: 2013/2014
• Typ práce: diplomová práce
• Jazyk práce: angličtina
• Ústav: Institut ekonomických studií (23-IES)
• Vedoucí / školitel: Mgr. Michal Paulus
• Řešitel: skrytý - zadáno vedoucím/školitelem
• Datum přihlášení: 16.05.2014
• Datum zadání: 16.05.2014
• Datum a čas obhajoby: 22.06.2016 09:00
• Místo konání obhajoby: IES
• Datum odevzdání elektronické podoby: 12.05.2016
• Datum proběhlé obhajoby: 22.06.2016
• Oponenti: doc. Ing. Vladimír Benáček, CSc.

Seznam odborné literatury

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Předběžná náplň práce

Globalizace je fenoménem, který má nezpochybnitelné důsledky na obyvatele a ekonomiky téměř všech zemí světa skrz svůj vliv na HDP. Z tohoto důvodu je pozorování úrovně globalizace nesmírně zajímavé a přináší důležité poznatky pro nastavování hospodářské politiky. Aplikací nedávno vyzkoumaných technik gravitačního modelu hodlám pozorovat vývoj úrovně distančního koeficientu, který je známou zástupnou proměnnou globalizace. Nejprve bych rád popsal metody potřebné k provedení výzkumu a jejich nedávný vývoj. Následně bych rád vytvořil dataset disagregovaného bilaterálního obchodu, HDP jednotlivých zemí, mezinárodních obchodních dohod, institucionálních proměnných a dalších vysvětlujících proměnných. Následně chci na tento dataset aplikovat výše zmíněné techniky a pozorovat rozdílné vývoje distančního koeficientu jednotlivých sekcí obchodu. Dále mne zajímá porovnání koeficientů měření na disagregovaných a agregovaných datech.

Předběžná náplň práce v anglickém jazyce

Globalization is a phenomenon that has an indisputable effect on almost every person and every economy in the world through its impact on GDP. Due to this reason observation of the level of globalization is very interesting as it brings an important evidence for policy makers. Using recently developed gravity model techniques I want to observe the level of globalization through the distance coefficient that is known as its proxy. First I would like to describe the methods I will use for the estimation and a recent progress in the gravity model theory. Second I would like to create a dataset of disaggregated bilateral trade flows, countries' GDPs, regional trade agreements, institutional foundations and supporting explanatory variables. Third I would like to apply described techniques on this dataset and observe a different paths of distance coefficient evolution between them and try to find any empirical explanation for such evolution. Further I am interested in a measurement of the unexamined correlation between coefficients of two sets of explanatory variables – the aggregated and the disaggregated