Thesis (Selection of subject)Thesis (Selection of subject)(version: 356)
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The Nature of Conflict in the Arctic: A Rationalist Approach to the Conflict Triggers
Thesis title in Czech: Povaha konfliktu v Arktidě: Racionalistický přístup k spouštěčům konfliktu
Thesis title in English: The Nature of Conflict in the Arctic: A Rationalist Approach to the Conflict Triggers
Key words: Arktida; konflikt; teorie racionální volby; bargaining model of war; spouštěče konfliktu; NATO; Rusko
English key words: Arctic; conflict; rational choice theory; bargaining model of war; conflict triggers; NATO; Russia
Academic year of topic announcement: 2021/2022
Type of assignment: diploma thesis
Thesis language: angličtina
Department: Department of Security Studies (23-KBS)
Supervisor: Mgr. Anzhelika Solovyeva, Ph.D.
Author: hidden - assigned by the advisor
Date of registration: 15.06.2022
Date of assignment: 15.06.2022
Date and time of defence: 20.09.2023 07:00
Venue of defence: Jinonice - U Kříže 8, Praha 5
Date of electronic submission:01.08.2023
Date of proceeded defence: 20.09.2023
Reviewers: doc. PhDr. Vít Střítecký, M.Phil., Ph.D.
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Preliminary scope of work
Tato diplomová práce zkoumá konflikt v Arktidě mezi pobřežními státy, a jeho vrstvy. Jejím cílem je na základě existující literatury identifikovat příčiny tohoto konfliktu, a zjistit jejich intenzitu, za použití definice konfliktu, kterou tato práce představuje na základě existujících modelů. S využitím teorie racionální volby a vyjednávacího modelu války (bargaining model of war) zjišťuje jak se konflikt vyvíjel, a proč se nedostal do fáze ozbrojeného střetu mezi státy (což dříve naznačovala literature). S využitím zmíněných teorií tato práce představuje vlastní škálu intenzity konfliktu, která společně s vytvořenou definicí konfliktu poskytuje metodu jak zkoumat jednotlivé vrstvy konfliktu v Arktidě, čímž doplňuje stávající literaturu. Zároveň přispívá literatuře aplikováním bargaining model of war na nenásilný konflikt, což v literatuře často chybí. Odpovídá na otázku jak vypadá konflikt v Arktidě v roce 2023 a vysvětluje chybějící ozbrojený střet.
Preliminary scope of work in English
This Master’s thesis explores the triggers of the conflict in the Arctic between the littoral states. Its goal is to identify key conflict drivers, based on the existing literature, then assess their intensity, based on the existing framework and supplemented by this thesis’ own definition of conflict. By using the theory of rational choice and the bargaining model of war, it is studied why and how has the Arctic issues not escalated into armed confrontation, a topic which has been prominent in the literature at one time. By applying the aforementioned theories, this thesis links the conflict triggers to an intensity level, while applying the bargaining model of war on a non-violent conflict. The conclusions should determine the intensity of each conflict trigger, while explaining the changes in the conflict, including the external influencing factors. Developing its own definition of conflict and an intensity scale, this thesis aims to fill the gap in the existing literature, which usually focuses on the conflict as a singular topic, while introducing and exploring different layers of the conflict derived from identification of the conflict triggers.
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