Lokální scénáře změny klimatu ve vysokém rozlišení a vliv změn land-use

• Thesis title in Czech: Lokální scénáře změny klimatu ve vysokém rozlišení a vliv změn land-use
• Thesis title in English: Local scenarios of climate change in high resolution and effects of land-use changes
• Key words: klimatická změna, downscaling scénářů klimatické změny, regionální klimatické modely, "convection permitting" RCMs, vliv land-use
• English key words: climate change, climate change scenarios downscaling, regional climate models, convection permitting RCMs, land-use effects
• Academic year of topic announcement: 2020/2021
• Thesis type: dissertation
• Thesis language: čeština
• Department: Department of Atmospheric Physics (32-KFA)
• Supervisor: doc. RNDr. Tomáš Halenka, CSc.
• Author: hidden - assigned and confirmed by the Study Dept.
• Date of registration: 08.09.2020
• Date of assignment: 08.09.2020
• Confirmed by Study dept. on: 02.10.2020
• Advisors: Mgr. Michal Belda, Ph.D.

Guidelines

For local climate change scenarios construction, the downscaling of GCM scenarios is necessary. While the different approaches can be used, the trend towards high resolution needs specific land surface interactions to be involved properly, with the option for land-use change effects introduction. This gives a preference to the regional climate modelling, where the emphasis to high resolution leads to convection permitting RCMs. Tha aim of the project is to construct local climate scenarios using downscaling via RCMs results and to study the potential effects of land-use changes on them.

References

A. Gettelman, R. B. Rood (2016): Demystifying Climate Models: A Users Guide to Earth System Models. SpringerOnline

Davin, L., et al. (2020): Biogeophysical impacts of forestation in Europe: first results from the LUCAS (Land Use and Climate Across Scales) regional climate model intercomparison

Huszar, P., Halenka, T., Belda, M., Zak, M., Sindelarova, K., and Miksovsky, J., (2014): Regional climate model assessment of the urban land-surface forcing over central Europe. Atmos. Chem. Phys., 14, 12393-12413.

Prein, A. F., W. Langhans, G. Fosser, A. Ferrone, N. Ban, K. Goergen, M. Keller, M. Tölle, O. Gutjahr, F. Feser, et al. (2015): A review on regional convection-permitting climate modeling: Demonstrations, prospects, and challenges, Rev. Geophys., 53, 323–361. doi:10.1002/2014RG000475.

Ban, N., J. Schmidli, and C. Schär (2014): Evaluation of the convection-resolving regional climate modeling approach in decade-long simulations, J. Geophys. Res. Atmos., 119,
7889–7907, doi:10.1002/2014JD021478.

and further following the supervisor's instructions.

Preliminary scope of work

Lokální scénáře změny klimatu ve vysokém rozlišení a vliv změn land-use

Preliminary scope of work in English

Local scenarios of climate change in high resolution and effects of land-use changes