Assessing Economic Linkages between the EU and the Eastern Europe Neighbours
| Thesis title in Czech: | Vyhodnocení ekonomických závislostí mezi EU a sousedskými zeměmi východní Evropy |
|---|---|
| Thesis title in English: | Assessing Economic Linkages between the EU and the Eastern Europe Neighbours |
| Key words: | Vektorová autoregrese, východní partnerství EU, eurozóna, domácí a vnější šoky, měnová politika, vazby, integrace. |
| English key words: | VAR, EU Eastern Neighbours, euro area, external shocks, monetary policy, linkages, integration, DCFTA |
| Academic year of topic announcement: | 2016/2017 |
| Thesis type: | diploma thesis |
| Thesis language: | angličtina |
| Department: | Institute of Economic Studies (23-IES) |
| Supervisor: | prof. Roman Horváth, Ph.D. |
| Author: | hidden - assigned by the advisor |
| Date of registration: | 14.06.2017 |
| Date of assignment: | 14.06.2017 |
| Date and time of defence: | 19.09.2018 08:30 |
| Venue of defence: | Opletalova - Opletalova 26, O105, Opletalova - místn. č. 105 |
| Date of electronic submission: | 31.07.2018 |
| Date of proceeded defence: | 19.09.2018 |
| Opponents: | prof. Ing. et Ing. Luboš Komárek, M.Sc., MBA, Ph.D. |
| URKUND check: | |
| References |
| Horváth, R., Rusnák, M., 2008. How Important Are Foreign Shocks in Small Open Economy? The Case of
Slovakia.IES Working Paper 21/2008. IES FSV. Charles University. Cushman, D. O., Zha, T., 1997. Identifying Monetary Policy in a Small Open Economy under Flexible Exchange Rates, Journal of Monetary Economics 39, 433 – 448. Roaf, J., Atoyan, R., Joshi, B. , Krogulski, K. and an IMF Staff Team,2014. 25 Years of Transition Post- Communist Europe and the IMF. IMF Regional Economic Issues Special Report. ISBN: 978-1-49834-201-8 Galgóczi, B., Drahokoupil, J., Bernaciak, M., 2015. Foreign investment in eastern and southern Europe after 2008 Still a lever of growth?” European Trade Union Institute (ETUI), ISBN: 978-2-87452-391-5. Gorzelak G, 2015. Growth-Innovation-Competitiveness: Fostering Cohesion in Central and Eastern Europe, GRINCOH Project Final Report, Contr. Nr. 290657. Schadler, S., Mody, A., Abiad, A., Leigh, D., 2006. Growth in the Central and Eastern European Countries of the European Union. International Monetary Fund. ISBN-10:1-58906-554-9. Forgó, B., Jevčák, A., 2015. Economic Convergence of Central and Eastern European EU Member States over the Last Decade (2004-2014) European Economy Discussion Paper by European Commission. ISBN 978-92-79- 48657-9. Kenny, C., 2014. What Does the Eastern European Growth Experience Tell Us About the Policy and Convergence Debates?. 2014/11/russ6. Velickovski, I., Stojkov A., 2014. Is the European integration speeding up the economic convergence process of the Central and South-Eastern European countries? A shock perspective. Empirica (2014) 41:287–321. IMF, 2016. Central, Eastern, and Southeastern Europe How to Get Back on the Fast Track, Regional Economic Issues. Kharlamova, G., 2015. The European Union and the Eastern Partnership: Convergence of Economies. Procedia Economics and Finance 27 (2015) 29 – 41. |
| Preliminary scope of work |
| Uvedená studie analyzuje ekonomické vazby mezi pěti zeměmi střední a východní Evropy (Česká republika, Rumunsko, Moldavsko, Gruzie a Ukrajina) a eurozónou, v období 2006-2017, prostřednictvím modelu vektorové autoregrese s blokovou restrikcí. Model vektorové autoregrese umožňuje vyhodnotit intenzitu a přetrvávání domácích a evropských šoků na čtyřech makroekonomických ukazatelích: reálný HDP, krátkodobá úroková míra, index spotřebitelských cen a měnový kurz. |
| Preliminary scope of work in English |
| The preliminary scope is to compare the CEE countries alignment to the EU, determining to what extent the EU explains
the economic fluctuations in the Eastern Partnership countries (Republic of Moldova, Georgia and Ukraine) and CEECs which are already members (Czech Republic and Romania). In this context, the actuality of my research is based on the strategic goal of the EU to reinforce relationships with Neighbour border states, specifically Eastern Partnership countries after AA and DCFTA agreements implementation. The main objective is to obtain new insights into the factors that determine the synchronization of shocks in the CEECs versus EU, estimating block-restriction vector autoregression model. |