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Healthy Ageing and Healthcare Expenditure
Název práce v češtině: Zdravé stárnutí a výdaje na zdravotnictví
Název v anglickém jazyce: Healthy Ageing and Healthcare Expenditure
Klíčová slova: zdravotnictví, financování zdravotnictví, hypotéza zdravého stárnutí
Klíčová slova anglicky: healthcare, healthcare financing, healthy ageing hypothesis
Akademický rok vypsání: 2019/2020
Typ práce: diplomová práce
Jazyk práce: angličtina
Ústav: Institut ekonomických studií (23-IES)
Vedoucí / školitel: PhDr. Lucie Bryndová
Řešitel: skrytý - zadáno vedoucím/školitelem
Datum přihlášení: 28.01.2020
Datum zadání: 28.01.2020
Datum a čas obhajoby: 15.09.2021 09:00
Místo konání obhajoby: Opletalova - Opletalova 26, O314, Opletalova - místn. č. 314
Datum odevzdání elektronické podoby:27.07.2021
Datum proběhlé obhajoby: 15.09.2021
Oponenti: doc. Paola Bertoli, M.A., M.Sc., D.Phil.
 
 
 
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Seznam odborné literatury
Bělohradský, Aleš, 2018. The methodology of health care long-term care and education projections MFČR, available from https://www.mfcr.cz/assets/en/media/2018-12-The-Methodology-of-Health-Care-Long-term-Care-and-Education-Projections.pdf

Breyer, Friederich and Felder, Stefan, 2005. Life expectancy and health care expenditures: A new calculation for Germany using the costs of dying, journal Health Policy, Volume 75, Issue 2, January 2006, Pages 178-186

Culyer, Anthony J. and Newhouse, Joseph P., 2000. Handbook of health economics volume 1b, Elsevier, ISBN: 0444504710

Meijer, Cludine, Woutrese, Bram and Koopmanschap, Marc, 2013. The effect of population aging on health expenditure growth: a critical review. European Journal of Ageing 10, pages 353–361

United Nations, 2019. World Population Prospects, Available from https://population.un.org/wpp/DataQuery/

Předběžná náplň práce v anglickém jazyce
I have data on the average health care expenditure of insurance companies by age and gender in the Czech Republic for the years 2000–2017 provided by the Czech Statistical Office and I'm also looking for more specific data from the Czech Ministry of Finance (MFČR). I will be comparing these with models utilizing the methodology used by MFČR described in the paper by Bělohradský (2018). This method predicts healthcare by multiplying age specific expenditure from the previous year with GDP per capita change and its elasticity. This is then multiplied by excess cost growth variable, which contains information about technology growth, the development of relative prices and relative growth of wages in the medical sector compared to other parts of the economy. The values for GDP elasticity and excess growth variable are taken from MFČR with multiple possible scenarios such as convergence to zero.

The values of the previous year are also reduced by the change in life expectancy from the previous year multiplied by the difference between previous year expenditure for the people of the same age and the previous year expenditure for those younger by one year. This should reflect the adjustment for people being healthier at the same age in successive years. To control by how much the change of life expectancy affects the expenditure value it is multiplied by 1-ρ. This factor is to be estimated against the real expenditure profiles in different scenarios to answer the hypothesis. ρ can obtain values between zero and one, with 0 denotating compression of morbidity, or pure healthy ageing hypothesis, that makes all the increased life expectancy is lived through in perfect health and 1 indicating an expansion of morbidity when the expenditure profile remains the same as all additional years are lived in disability.
 
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