The Effects of US Sanctions in Venezuela
| Název práce v češtině: | Efektivita sankcí USA vůči Venezuele |
|---|---|
| Název v anglickém jazyce: | The Effects of US Sanctions in Venezuela |
| Klíčová slova: | Sanctions, sanctions episode, sender, target, geoeconomics, Hugo Chavez, Nicolás Maduro, Juan Guaidó, United States, Venezuela |
| Klíčová slova anglicky: | Sanctions, sanctions episode, sender, target, geoeconomics, Hugo Chavez, Nicolás Maduro, Juan Guaidó, United States, Venezuela |
| Akademický rok vypsání: | 2018/2019 |
| Typ práce: | diplomová práce |
| Jazyk práce: | angličtina |
| Ústav: | Katedra politologie (23-KP) |
| Vedoucí / školitel: | PhDr. Malvína Krausz Hladká, Ph.D. |
| Řešitel: | skrytý - zadáno vedoucím/školitelem |
| Datum přihlášení: | 06.06.2019 |
| Datum zadání: | 06.06.2019 |
| Datum a čas obhajoby: | 25.09.2020 00:00 |
| Datum odevzdání elektronické podoby: | 30.07.2020 |
| Datum proběhlé obhajoby: | 25.09.2020 |
| Oponenti: | doc. Martin Riegl, Ph.D. |
| Kontrola URKUND: | |
| Zásady pro vypracování |
| My thesis will analyze the geopolitical effects of US sanctions imposed upon Venezuela. Currently there is a well-known crisis in Venezuela with high inflation and an ongoing debate about the legitimacy of Nicolas Maduro’s presidency. The US has imposed a series of sanctions over time, targeting the Venezuelan economy and citing reasons such as terrorism, drug trafficking, and human rights violations. These sanctions have caused changes in the Venezuelan economy and have impacted Venezuelan geopolitical relations – both with neighboring nations (Colombia) and bigger powers (The West and the East). The thesis will analyze these effects and aim to form a causal relationship between the sanctions and the geopolitical shifts. I will look at texts and speeches in both English and Spanish. During the research process, it is possible that the focus will slightly change or open new insights on the subject – I will adjust accordingly.
Working hypotheses: 1. Hypothesis #1: US sanctions on Venezuela are impacting their economy and geopolitical relations 2. Hypothesis #2: The sanctions used by the US are successful (or unsuccessful) in achieving their overall goals. 3. Hypothesis #3: The US sanctions are causing a shift in geopolitical relations between Venezuela and its allies (and neighbors, e.g. Colombia). Methodology: The methodology should correspond to the hypotheses and the available material specified above. You can briefly describe which theoretical and analytical concepts based on deduction or induction (i.e. on empirical or experimental approaches) you are going to employ. To support these hypotheses, I will rely on both quantitative and qualitative methods. I will analyze the text of various speeches by Maduro and Guaidó to analyze how they frame the sanctions and to analyze their arguing points on which sides (allies) to support. I will also look at the numbers in regard to trade – mainly focusing on PDVSA, the Venezuelan state-owned oil company, and how their sales have changed. I will compare the changes with the various sanctions that have been imposed upon Venezuela over time and attempt to find causal links. |
| Seznam odborné literatury |
| Blackwill, Robert D. and Jennifer M. Harris. War by Other Means: Geoeconomics and Statecraft. Cambridge, Massachusetts; London, England: Harvard University Press, 2016.
Blackwill, Robert D. and Jennifer M. Harris. “War by Other Means: Geoeconomics and Statecraft.” Interview by Richard N. Hass. Council on Foreign Relations, May 25, 2016. Video, 45:51. https://www.cfr.org/event/war-other-means-geoeconomics-and-statecraft-0. Buxton, Julia. "Venezuela's Contemporary Political Crisis in Historical Context." Bulletin of Latin American Research 24, no. 3 (2005): 328-47. www.jstor.org/stable/27733773. Hufbauer, Gary Clyde, and Jeffrey J. Schott. “Economic Sanctions and U.S. Foreign Policy.” PS 18, no. 4 (1985): 727-735. doi: 10.2307/419135. Hufbauer, Gary Clyde, Jeffrey J. Schott, Kimberly Ann Elliott, and Barbara Oegg. Economic Sanctions Reconsidered: 3rd Edition. Washington, DC: Peterson Institute for International Economics, 2007. Luttwak, Edward N. "From Geopolitics to Geo-Economics: Logic of Conflict, Grammar of Commerce." The National Interest, no. 20 (1990): 17-23. www.jstor.org/stable/42894676. Rendon, Moises and Max Price. Are Sanctions Working in Venezuela? CSIS Briefs. Washington, DC: Center For Strategic and International Studies, September 2019. https://csis-website-prod.s3.amazonaws.com/s3fs-public/publication/190903_RendonPrice_VenezuelaSanctions_layout_v2.pdf. Seelke, Clare Ribando. “Venezuela: Overview of U.S. Sanctions.” CRS Report IF10715 V. 25 (2020). Updated June 2, 2020. https://fas.org/sgp/crs/row/IF10715.pdf. Szuchman, Mark. “Understanding the Venezuelan Crisis.” Lecture at Green Mountain Academy for Lifelong Learning, Dorset, VT, October 9, 2019. https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=n2btqBd85D8&t=70s. |
| Předběžná náplň práce |
| Outline:
1. Introduction 2. Literature Review and Theory a. The conceptualization of sanctions b. The use of sanctions as a foreign policy tool c. Determining the efficacy of sanctions d. Theoretical background 3. Methodology a. Research Design & Methodology 4. Analysis 4.1 History of US-Venezuela Relations a. Pre-Chavez history b. The era of Hugo Chavez c. The era of Nicolás Maduro 4.2 Analysis of US sanctions in Venezuela a. The target of US sanctions b. The desired effects of US sanctions 4.3. Measuring the effects of US Sanctions a. 2014 - Political and economic situation in Venezuela before sanctions b. 2015 - Political and economic effects c. 2016 - Political and economic effects d. 2017 - Political and economic effects e. 2018 - Political and economic effects f. 2019 - Political and economic effects g. 2020 - Political and economic effects 4.4. Measuring the efficacy of US sanctions a. Table of cases and witnessed effects b. Descriptive analysis of witnessed effects 4.5. Geopolitical perspective of US sanctions in Venezuela a. Analysis through the geoeconomic lens 5. Conclusions 6. References / Bibliography |
| Předběžná náplň práce v anglickém jazyce |
| Outline:
1. Introduction 2. Literature Review and Theory a. The conceptualization of sanctions b. The use of sanctions as a foreign policy tool c. Determining the efficacy of sanctions d. Theoretical background 3. Methodology a. Research Design & Methodology 4. Analysis 4.1 History of US-Venezuela Relations a. Pre-Chavez history b. The era of Hugo Chavez c. The era of Nicolás Maduro 4.2 Analysis of US sanctions in Venezuela a. The target of US sanctions b. The desired effects of US sanctions 4.3. Measuring the effects of US Sanctions a. 2014 - Political and economic situation in Venezuela before sanctions b. 2015 - Political and economic effects c. 2016 - Political and economic effects d. 2017 - Political and economic effects e. 2018 - Political and economic effects f. 2019 - Political and economic effects g. 2020 - Political and economic effects 4.4. Measuring the efficacy of US sanctions a. Table of cases and witnessed effects b. Descriptive analysis of witnessed effects 4.5. Geopolitical perspective of US sanctions in Venezuela a. Analysis through the geoeconomic lens 5. Conclusions 6. References / Bibliography |